Shipping rates may recover in March
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Freight rates, which had fallen considerably by end-January due to the Chinese New Year closure, may show some recovery by March. However, they may not touch the November 2009 levels.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has fallen considerably over the past few
weeks till end-January due to closure for the Chinese New Year. The BDI
may show some recovery by March, but it would be lower than the
November 2009 level, says an industry expert.BDI, which is a major indicator for the dry bulk segment, has fallen to
2,963 on 28th January from an average of 3,572 in December. “The reason
is very clear; we are entering the Chinese New Year. In China they have
a complete shutdown during this period. We will see a revival in these
falling rates in about a month, in March 2010,” said Capt KS Nair,
director, bulk and tanker division, Shipping Corporation of India
(SCI). State-run SCI is the largest shipping company in India with a
huge presence in the dry bulk and tanker segment.However, the BDI may find it difficult to retain its earlier level
reached in November 2009. Capt Nair said,”After this New Year period,
the rates will recover only up to the December levels, but the November
level may not be possible.” The BDI average in November was 3,941.Contrary to the decline in the BDI for the dry bulk segment, certain
amount of recovery has been witnessed in freight rates for the very
large crude carriers (VLCC) segment. The freight rates in the VLCC
segment had zoomed to a high of $50,620/day on 26th January.However, Capt Nair does not see any long-term relief. “The rates in the
VLCC segment have recovered due to the winter effect. However, for the
long-term period, they will be still steady at $28,000 to $30,000
(daily) levels,” he said.Source: MoneyLife
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