Sea freight: Why It Now a must buy
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OceanFreight, Inc is an owner and operator of both drybulk and tanker vessels that operate worldwide. OCNF owns a fleet of 12 vessels, comprised of 8 drybulk vessels (2 Capesize, 6 Panamaxes) and 4 crude carrier tankers (1 Suezmax, 3 Aframaxes) with a combined dead weight tonnage of about 1.22 million tons.
The company has agreed to acquire two Capesize dry bulk vessels and
upon the delivery of these vessels to OCNF its fleet will consist of 14
vessels, comprised of 10 dry bulk carriers (4 Capesizes, 6 Panamaxes)
and 4 tankers (1 Suezmax, 3 Aframaxes) with a combined deadweight
tonnage of approximately 1.6 million tons.Reasons to own OCNF:
1. OCNF had recent earnings of $0.11 per share excluding the one off
charges due to the sale of an older panamax vessel. Company’s net
income on an operating basis was well above analyst expectations of
$0.00 per share.2. OCNF has secured gross revenues of $115 million until the end of
2010 with 92% fleet charter coverage for the remainder of 2009 and 72%
for 2010.3. OCNF has a very low price to earnings ratio of 1.20 based on a average of 3 fiscal years.
4. OCNF has a book value of $3.45 a share, and is trading at only 0.3x book at $1.07.
5. OCNF is currently trading at only 0.7 x sales.
I believe OCNF is now a must buy given the current stock price of $1.07
which doesn’t reflect the $115 million revenue that is already secured
for 2010. OCNF has excellent growth prospects that could very well
generate massive upside in the stock price (i.e. 300% to 500% over the
next 12 to 18 months). OCNF had a high of $5.50 a share at the start of
2009 and sold off part due to dilution along with the downturn in the
dry bulk shipping sector; the shares outstanding are now 142M from 90M.
In my opinion within the dry bulk shipping sector, OCNF offers by far
the greatest upside percentage reward. OCNF is easily 100% undervalued.
Watch for OCNF to rally back above its 200 day moving average of $1.37
over the next 30 days.OCNF is positioned to take advantage of opportunities in the seaborne
transportation markets for both drybulk and energy commodities. The Dry
bulk business has clearly bottomed and now starting to pick up again.
The chairman and managing director of Shipping Corp. of India S. Hajara
said in an interview with The Economic Times that the worst for drybulk
shipping industry is over.The share prices of most dry bulk shipping companies follow the rise
and fall in the Baltic Dry Index or BDI. This is an index covering dry
bulk shipping. Several of my broker friends that trade this index
believe buying a shipping stock below asset value is a sure thing.
Several years ago, many shipping stock traded 4 to 5 times asset value.I have had OCNF on my radar since 2007 when it peaked at $30 share.
After 6 months of being on my buy watch list, I am buying. The downside
risk is very low with excellent upside reward. I expect OCNF to be
above $3 a share by this time next year. Analysts will likely upgrade
OCNF soon.Source: OceanFreight
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