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Not all at sea

  • Stopping terrorists at sea requires similar action on land, with better international coordination and active and passive measures. THE source of the information remains murky,

    especially given the specifics of the supposed intelligence: terrorists
    were planning an attack on oil tankers in Singapore waters from the
    Straits of Malacca.

    According to one source, Japanese authorities had passed the information
    to the Kuala Lumpur-based International Maritime Bureau (IMB), which
    then relayed it to “relevant authorities in Malaysia, Singapore and
    Indonesia”.

    But another source said Indonesian military intelligence learned about
    it from captured Acehnese rebels detained in various raids on their
    hideouts over the past fortnight.

    There may yet be more versions of how that story originated.
    Nonetheless, whatever its origins or veracity, it had spread in recent
    days from government agencies to private shippers around the region.

    At stake are possible losses of cargo, shipping vessels and human life.

    There is also the question of rising insurance premiums, and harm to the
    image and reputation of the Straits of Malacca as an important
    international waterway.

    Nearly 300 ships on average ply the straits each day, transporting a
    third of world trade and half the world’s oil. Serious threats to
    shipping in the straits can only strengthen the prospect of alternative
    routes, like Thailand’s sporadic calls for a Kra Isthmus canal and
    Indonesia’s occasional efforts to develop the Sunda or Lombok straits.

    Some 80% of China’s oil imports and 90% of Japan’s reportedly come
    through the Malacca Straits. Singapore as the world’s leading container
    port and refuelling hub also depends heavily on the continued health and
    safety of the straits.

    And yet the Straits of Malacca poses problems of its own: crowded,
    narrow and shallow, it can be a chokepoint as much as a navigational
    course. Still, piracy has been suppressed and terrorism never a problem.

    Assaults on ships can take one of three forms. The most common has been
    hijacking for theft of ship or cargo, or both, which would be piracy and
    not terrorism.

    An outright act of terrorism would then be either a strike to destroy a
    fuel-filled tanker, or hijacking a tanker to turn it into a giant
    floating petrol bomb.

    The first is difficult to achieve for any known terrorist group in the
    region, and the second is difficult for any terrorist group anywhere
    because of a tanker’s safety design features.

    To counter any attack, security agencies in Malaysia, Singapore and
    Indonesia in particular need to develop their level of routine
    cooperation and exchange as standard operating procedure. That has
    already begun in recent days.

    However reliable or otherwise the information may be is another matter.
    This occasion should be an opportunity to develop closer working
    relationships between the navies, police and coast guard agencies of the
    countries concerned.

    But what is the known threat so far? Even the identity of the supposed
    terrorist group is unspecified, but if there is any truth in the
    warning, then initial indications suggest the most likely group is the
    Indonesia-based Jemaah Islamiyah (JI).

    However, JI is ill-equipped to undertake a task as complicated as
    attacking a large moving vessel at sea with high open decks. It is very
    different from detonating a bomb by remote control in a stationary
    land-based target.

    Nonetheless, whoever is involved or implicated, constant patrols and
    adequate on-board security should suffice to deter and neutralise any
    attempted attacks.

    Singapore authorities during the week have also warned of possible
    attacks on other large vessels, but it is just as well for smaller
    vessels also to be forewarned.

    It took Somali pirates years of experience in attacking, boarding and
    hijacking smaller ships before recently “graduating” to a few oil
    tankers. For terrorist groups in South-East Asia with no experience of
    attacking any ships, it does not require complacency to be sceptical of a
    successful attack on an oil tanker.

    During the week, the IMB explained that terrorists would need the
    element of surprise to succeed. Large, heavy and slow-moving tankers
    offer little surprise as a floating bomb, while their few crew members
    make for minimal hostages and casualties.

    Without lapsing into complacency, the existing security agencies of
    Malaysia, Singa-pore and Indonesia have the capacity and competency to
    face down any terrorist threat to shipping in the straits. Years of
    successful action against piracy has helped, although piracy and
    terrorism are separate challenges to security.

    Beyond capacity and competency, however, regional state agencies need to
    develop the third crucial “c”: coordination. Still with no experience
    of working as one offshore security body, separate national agencies can
    do with better coordination without undue duplication, wastage, lapses
    or blind spots.

    With the personnel and equipment already at hand, more can be done to
    develop peak readiness round-the-clock with optimal response among the
    different agencies of the different countries.

    And besides responses, the agencies also need to exercise constant
    anticipation of attacks.

    A common problem with disparate national agencies concerns territorial
    jurisdiction and possible encroachment on national territory.

    With close coordination and prior approval in hot pursuit of suspect
    vessels, maritime boundaries should pose no problem for law enforcement.

    The quantitative presence of the various national security agencies in
    the Malacca Straits is more than sufficient.

    Their qualitative presence however can be improved, by way of better
    information gathering, data interface and intelligence-sharing between
    the different agencies and governments.

    Uniform procedures among Malaysian, Singaporean and Indonesian
    authorities at least would also help. These relate to procedures for
    interdicting suspect vessels and the processing of detained suspects.

    Passive security measures like on-board sentry duty are important and
    will continue. But just as important are active security measures like
    intercepting suspect radio messages and detective work to root out
    terrorist networks regionwide.

    Just as all ships need to be forewarned, not just tankers and other
    large vessels, effective maritime security must be more than offshore.

    Since seabound terrorists need land operations to complement or support
    their activities by way of vital supplies and escape routes, so must law
    enforcement deploy land resources and assets to stop them.

    Source: The Star Malaysia

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