Natural gas gains in New York as the economy better demand signals
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Natural gas futures advanced in New York on anticipation demand for the industrial fuel will rebound after the U.S. economy expanded in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace in six years.
A recovery at factories will help to lift use of natural gas, which
relies on industry for 29 percent of consumption. The economy expanded
5.7 percent in the fourth quarter, according to a Commerce Department
report. Forecasters also predicted cold weather may linger in the
Midwest and East.“Gross domestic product is helping a bit and we’ll probably get a
bounce,” said Tom Orr, director of research at Weeden & Co., a
brokerage in Greenwich, Connecticut. “It was also very cold here this
morning and the forecasts will probably get a little chillier.”Natural gas for March delivery rose 11.7 cents, or 2.3 percent, to
$5.255 per million British thermal units at 11:19 a.m. on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. The March contract had fallen 11 percent this week
to a seven-week closing low through yesterday. Gas futures have dropped
5.7 percent this month.Industrial demand for gas declined 9.8 percent through the first 10
months of 2009 with the worst recession since the 1930s cutting
purchases by steel mills, chemical plants and other large
manufacturers.The economy was forecast to grow at a 4.7 percent annual pace in the
fourth quarter, according to the median estimate of 84 economists in a
Bloomberg News survey.Demand Boost
“If you have greater-than-expected growth, then you’ll likely have
greater-than-expected demand,” said Cameron Horwitz, an analyst at
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Inc. in Houston. “The economy fell off a
cliff last year and that had a massive feedback into gas demand.
Hopefully we’ve repaired that and are back on track to continue
growing.”SunTrust Robinson anticipates industrial gas consumption will rise 5 to
6 percent in 2010, based on the U.S. economy expanding 2.5 percent, he
said.Cold weather will cover the eastern half of the U.S. now through Feb.
2, according to MDA Federal Inc.’s EarthSat Energy Weather of
Rockville, Maryland. Below-normal temperatures, which yesterday were
predicted to begin fading later next week, will now hang on along the
Eastern Seaboard, EarthSat said.EarthSat also eliminated from its 11-to-15-day forecast a prediction
made yesterday of above-normal temperatures for the eastern two-thirds
of the U.S. EarthSat is now predicting normal winter weather for most
of the country Feb. 8 to Feb. 12.Economic Optimism
The GDP report “will inject a degree of optimism into an environment of
general skepticism about the pace and sustainability of recovery and
may lift prices temporarily,” Michael Fitzpatrick, vice president of
energy at MF Global in New York, said in a note to clients.He said a “few days of cold this late in the season” may push prices beyond $6.
Other economic reports also signaled demand may begin to pick up for natural gas.
Companies in the U.S. expanded this month at the fastest clip in more than four years.
The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said today its
business barometer climbed to 61.5, the highest level since November
2005, from 58.7 last month. Readings greater than 50 signal expansion.Confidence among U.S. consumers rose to the highest level in two years.
The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment
rose to 74.4 from December’s 72.5. The figure exceeded a preliminary
reading for January of 72.8.Source: Bloomberg
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Crude oil rose in New York, heading for its biggest annual gain since 1999, as cold weather in the U.S. sent heating oil costs higher. Oil touched a six-week high of $80 a barrel, extending its rally to a seventh day, the longest since October.
U.S. coal consumption rose 4 percent over the previous week and was 7 percent greater than the same week last year, the third weekly uptick in a row, Genscape said Friday. But the outlook for miners is still somewhat dodgy, Genscape said. In the populous East, consumption for the week ended
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Coal supplies at U.S. power plants grew 0.5 percent this week from last week and are 28 percent greater than the same week of 2008 amid unusually feeble summer demand, Genscape said Tuesday. Electric companies had 176.9 million tons of coal stockpiled, compared with 176.1 million tons reported last Tuesday and
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Benchmark coal prices, already at a 14-month high, may advance about 20 percent in the next several quarters because of demand from China and other Asian nations, Deutsche Bank AG said. China, the world’s biggest coal consumer, may be forced to shut 11 percent of power generators on its main
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