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Asia Distillates-Jan/Feb at 4-Year High

Freight News | January 8, 2010 | View Comments
  • Asia distillate swaps rose on Thursday, up 0.6-1.0 percent along their 12-month curve, while the prompt timespread surged to a four-week high and gas oil cracks hovered near one-month peaks as freezing temperatures stoked heating fuel demand.

    Physical gas oil and jet cargo prices also lingered around 15-month highs.

    The jet fuel market remains firm due to increased kerosene heating
    demand from north Asian markets like Japan and China, as well as higher
    air travel during the year-end holidays and ahead of the Lunar New Year
    festivities.

    Also boosting sentiment was China Aviation Oil’s (CAO) purchase of
    another 95,000 tonnes or 760,000 barrels of jet fuel via tender for
    second-half January delivery at marginally higher prices, after
    importing up to 120,000 tonnes of jet fuel for loading between Jan. 25
    and Feb. 22 last month.

    Gas oil fundamentals strengthened due to the cold spell. Arctic winds
    have pushed down into the Northern Hemisphere, freezing Europe and
    parts of Asia, and boosting demand for heating in the United States by
    some 21 percent above normal.

    European energy demand has surged, especially in Britain and France,
    while heavy snow and record low temperatures in China prompted cities
    across eastern and central parts of the country to begin rationing
    power.

    “Gas oil looks well-supported from the cold snap, while the CAO tender
    gave the jet market a nice boost,” said a regional distillates trader.

    But high volumes of distillates stored on land and at sea are expected
    to cap the market’s gains, as worries linger that winter heating demand
    will not be suffice to reduce the glut.

    Shipbroker SSY estimates the volume of heating gas oil and diesel
    stored on tankers at sea had surged above 100 million barrels as at
    end-November, from 81.7 million barrels at end-October, beating earlier
    forecasts and surpassing the world’s daily consumption of under 85
    million barrels in 2009.

    * GAS OIL SWAP TIMESPREADS: The January/February contango shrank for a

    second day by 18 cents to an over four-week high of 88 cents a barrel, reflecting firmer market sentiment.

    * CRACKS: Diesel cracks eased by 8 cents to $8.52 a barrel, holding near one-month high levels.

    * SWAPS TRADES: Activity quietened slightly on Thursday, with at least
    150,000 barrels of January diesel swaps changing hands at $88.60-$88.70
    a barrel, while another 350,000 barrels of the Jan/Feb spread were
    traded at minus 90 cents to $1.00 a barrel.

    At least 100,000 barrels of the February regrade were traded at $2.10-$2.30 a barrel.

    * CASH DIFFERENTIALS: The discount on diesel’s cash differential for
    the 0.5 percent sulphur grade eased by 5 cents to 60 cents a barrel to
    Singapore spot quotes.

    Similarly, the discount for the 0.25 percent sulphur grade fell by 5
    cents to 35 cents, while the premium for the 0.05 percent sulphur grade
    rose by 5 cents to 10 cents.

    * PHYSICAL OUTRIGHT PRICES: Benchmark diesel with a maximum sulphur
    content of 0.5 percent rose by 90 cents for a third day to $88.40 a
    barrel, its highest

    level since Oct. 8, 2008.

    Jet fuel prices also gained for a third day by 50 cents to $90.85 a barrel, their highest since Oct. 14, 2008.

    * CASH TRADES: No deals.

    * TENDERS: Vietnam’s Petrolimex is seeking via tender 198,000 tonnes of
    diesel for first-quarter delivery. The tender closes on Jan. 12, with
    offers to remain valid until Jan. 18.

    Taiwan’s Formosa Petrochemical Corp sold 720,000 barrels of 0.05
    percent gas oil via tender for Feb. 5-9 lifting at slightly higher
    prices ranging from a small discount to parity to Singapore spot
    quotes, FOB, reflecting stronger market sentiment.

    China Aviation Oil (CAO) has bought another 95,000 tonnes or 760,000
    barrels of jet fuel via tender for second-half January delivery at
    marginally higher prices of around parity to Singapore spot quotes,
    FOB, versus an earlier deal, as demand firms.

    Source: Reuters

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